Default, Transition, and Recovery

by Nick W Kraemer, Jon Palmer, Kirsten R Mccabe, Lyndon Fernandes of S&P Global

Per S&P Global: Unusually large range of possible below investment grade defaults in the next two years, as financial market expectations (less defaults) contrast with economic signals (more defaults).

Will liquidity concerns ultimately be swamped by solvency concerns?

"In our optimistic scenario, we expect the default rate to fall to 4% by June 2021 (74 defaults), and in our pessimistic scenario, we expect the default rate to expand to 15.5% (284 defaults)."

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Deck: 
Default, Transition, and Recovery

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